Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 18.026057 20.550877 23.418591 26.941325 31.185612 36.177158 42.555513
2025-08-17 14.477789 17.570982 21.391014 26.537020 33.416697 42.489866 55.700613
2025-08-24 12.514399 15.821339 20.138972 26.336677 35.262671 48.087333 68.782979
2025-08-31 10.965675 14.289436 18.814022 25.634161 36.053077 52.110569 80.403135
2025-09-07 9.905836 13.243194 17.951293 25.357198 37.282762 56.886677 94.450606
2025-09-14 8.808542 12.003062 16.632076 24.154676 36.775637 58.619431 103.478243
2025-09-21 7.879885 10.907232 15.392305 22.882662 35.896440 59.451264 110.915502
2025-09-28 7.232999 10.165824 14.606240 22.225473 35.937000 61.920986 122.525381
2025-10-05 7.430033 10.714598 15.874229 25.150665 42.910708 79.481679 175.948186
2025-10-12 7.206634 10.579474 16.016241 26.121553 46.361382 90.722326 219.647127
2025-10-19 6.696450 9.939784 15.252554 25.336793 46.126773 93.593671 240.914228
2025-10-26 6.509529 9.812244 15.345508 26.165024 49.416949 105.785179 299.111978
2025-11-02 6.122838 9.338488 14.819856 25.788126 50.144937 112.118460 343.255264
2025-11-09 5.770599 8.898902 14.319062 25.405896 50.817263 118.629133 394.138957
2025-11-16 5.480443 8.543843 13.937946 25.216587 51.909305 126.735953 459.990268
2025-11-23 5.155407 8.105054 13.364461 24.552529 51.712684 130.941122 512.019503
2025-11-30 4.909789 7.790477 12.998383 24.290645 52.496936 138.603266 592.237039
2025-12-07 4.579490 7.304390 12.269394 23.153033 50.789065 137.427055 619.621837
2025-12-14 4.266486 6.833532 11.540308 21.948666 48.731150 134.534853 634.453996
2025-12-21 4.042912 6.514223 11.086454 21.326003 48.187787 137.034932 691.632619
2025-12-28 4.199156 6.901404 12.053469 24.095326 57.853863 182.874527 1196.700302
2026-01-04 4.148116 6.896398 12.229127 25.013272 62.325602 210.709436 1652.557925
2026-01-11 3.943708 6.587430 11.754345 24.271349 61.424056 213.734048 1819.430678